• Development Intelligence

The very unlikely General Election

As the DI team has been saying, literally forever, there is virtually no chance of a General Election anytime soon. Why?

Well first we must thank that nice chap from Facebook, Sir Nick Clegg. Part of his deal with the Tories in 2010 meant that the Coalition created the Fixed Term Parliament Act 2011, to stop those pesky Tories calling a snap General Election and foreshortening Cleggy’s time with a Government limo. So it’s actually quite hard to have a General Election without the Government’s say so. It would require the DUP and a rump of Tory MPs to vote against the Government twice in two weeks in no confidence votes. That’s a good number of turkeys voting for a very painful Christmas.

Second, the DI team can literally see no possible upside scenario where it would be good for the Tories to call the Opposition’s bluff and go for a General Election, as the Maybot did in 2017. (Readers might recall that this didn’t work out quite so well for the Tories, and that was when they were riding high in the polls way ahead of the anti-Semitic, vote-losing Marxist. Things are a lot worse for them now).

So despite all the Corbynista bluster and all the overhyped faux analysis by the commentariat, the next General Election will be on 5 May 2022.

(Editor’s note – Our DI Labour colleagues would like us to explain why we use the term ‘anti-Semitic, vote-losing Marxist’ when referring to St Jezza of Islington. With a Government in complete and utter open warfare with itself, imploding on an hourly basis, for the official Opposition to not be rampantly ahead in the polls means you have a major electability problem. By comparison, in opposition, Thatcher, Blair, Hague and Cameron were all miles ahead in the polls at the same juncture historically. Thus, Corbyn is a massive vote loser, QED. And the anti-Semitic bit, well if you’ve missed that, you really haven’t been paying attention).